Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-01-21 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

DAL: 46.8%

CAR: 53.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.17

CAR: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	2	0.58
1	CAR	14	0	0.66
2	DAL	13	0	1.16
2	CAR	8	0	0.47
3	DAL	21	4	2.72
3	CAR	11	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.7