Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-01-21 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 56.3%
CAR: 43.7%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.91
CAR: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | DAL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.837 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | CAR 6 - 3 DAL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-25 | DAL 3 - 2 CAR | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-21 | DAL 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | DAL |
| 2024-11-25 | CAR 6 - 4 DAL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-02-24 | CAR 1 - 2 DAL | DAL | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 17:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:11 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:35 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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