Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-01-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 38.9%
WSH: 61.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.22
WSH: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | EDM | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6 - 5 WSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-19 | WSH 7 - 4 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-23 | WSH 7 - 3 EDM | WSH | EDM |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7 - 2 WSH | EDM | EDM |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.