Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-01-21 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 59.5%
BUF: 40.5%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.50
BUF: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | VAN | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.938 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BUF: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | BUF 5 - 3 VAN | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-11 | VAN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | VAN |
| 2025-01-21 | VAN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | VAN |
| 2024-11-29 | BUF 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | BUF |
| 2024-03-19 | VAN 3 - 2 BUF | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:05 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 10:29 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:42 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:33 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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