Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-01-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 55.9%

BUF: 44.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.99

BUF: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	BUF 5 - 3 VAN	BUF	BUF
2025-12-11	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-21	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	VAN
2024-11-29	BUF 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	BUF
2024-03-19	VAN 3 - 2 BUF	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	0	0.34
1	BUF	13	0	0.61
2	VAN	18	1	1.56
2	BUF	15	0	0.52
3	VAN	16	1	0.97
3	BUF	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5