Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-01-22 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 59.0%

WPG: 41.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.32

WPG: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	0.82
1	WPG	10	0	0.53
2	COL	16	2	1.29
2	WPG	13	1	1.03
3	COL	11	1	1.02
3	WPG	9	1	0.71
4	COL	0	0	0.00
4	WPG	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9