Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-01-22 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 73.2%
FLA: 26.8%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.59
FLA: 1.95
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA
FLA
Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA
| Stat | LAK | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.000 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 0.00 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | Darcy Kuemper | 28 | 27 | 1 | 96.4% | 2.81 | 3 | 1.81 |
| FLA | Spencer Knight | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 2.35 | 1 | 0.35 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs FLA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | FLA 3 - 2 LAK | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-11-06 | LAK 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | LAK |
| 2025-01-29 | FLA 3 - 0 LAK | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-22 | LAK 2 - 1 FLA | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-11 | FLA 3 - 2 LAK | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 15 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 1 | FLA | 10 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 2 | LAK | 7 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 2 | FLA | 25 | 2 | 1.68 |
| 3 | LAK | 18 | 1 | 1.64 |
| 3 | FLA | 9 | 1 | 0.70 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.6 - 1.9
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