Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 0 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 45.3%

OTT: 54.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.91

OTT: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	17	0	0.94
1	OTT	19	1	1.06
2	BOS	19	6	2.82
2	OTT	16	1	0.81
3	BOS	10	2	1.26
3	OTT	15	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0