Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-01-23 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 6 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Win (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 35.4%
PHI: 64.6%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.67
PHI: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | NYR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | PHI 2 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2026-02-26 | NYR 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | NYR |
| 2026-01-17 | PHI 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2025-12-20 | NYR 5 - 4 PHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-04-09 | NYR 5 - 8 PHI | PHI | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:25 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 09:00 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 10:24 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:44 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:15 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:53 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:15 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 6 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2
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