Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

CAR: 79.9%

CBJ: 20.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.23

CBJ: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	22	18	4	81.8%	1.32	1	-2.68
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	43	36	7	83.7%	5.49	4	-1.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	1.35
1	CBJ	17	1	0.89
2	CAR	30	2	2.51
2	CBJ	5	0	0.27
3	CAR	16	2	1.63
3	CBJ	8	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.2 - 2.8