Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

STL: 46.6%

VGK: 53.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

VGK: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	7	0	0.53
1	VGK	17	1	1.57
2	STL	15	0	1.11
2	VGK	14	1	0.99
3	STL	14	1	0.91
3	VGK	11	2	1.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1