Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-23 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 48.2%
VGK: 51.8%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.14
VGK: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | STL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.881 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VGK: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | VGK 4 - 2 STL | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-02 | STL 4 - 3 VGK | STL | VGK |
| 2025-11-15 | STL 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-23 | STL 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-20 | VGK 4 - 5 STL | STL | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:19 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 08:54 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 10:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:30 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 16:34 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3
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