Utah Hockey Club at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 0 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

MIN: 43.2%

UTA: 56.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.86

UTA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	29	25	4	86.2%	2.42	1	-1.58
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	26	26	0	100.0%	2.61	1	2.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs UTA: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	MIN 5 - 0 UTA	MIN	MIN
2026-02-27	UTA 5 - 2 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-10-25	MIN 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	MIN
2025-02-27	UTA 6 - 1 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-01-23	MIN 0 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.43
1	UTA	17	0	0.78
2	MIN	18	1	1.33
2	UTA	4	0	0.21
3	MIN	15	0	0.85
3	UTA	17	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 0 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3