Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

EDM: 70.6%

VAN: 29.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.81

VAN: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	26	24	2	92.3%	1.43	0	-0.57
VAN	Thatcher Demko	34	28	6	82.4%	4.81	5	-1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • EDM at home vs VAN: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	VAN 7 - 9 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	2	2.35
1	VAN	15	0	0.47
2	EDM	19	3	1.60
2	VAN	7	0	0.21
3	EDM	10	0	0.86
3	VAN	19	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8