Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 46.6%

PIT: 53.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.90

PIT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	PIT 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-10-14	ANA 4 - 3 PIT	ANA	ANA
2025-01-23	ANA 5 - 1 PIT	ANA	PIT
2024-10-31	PIT 2 - 1 ANA	PIT	PIT
2023-11-07	ANA 0 - 2 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	1	1.08
1	PIT	16	0	0.77
2	ANA	16	0	0.89
2	PIT	17	0	0.86
3	ANA	17	4	2.84
3	PIT	16	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9