Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

SJS: 40.3%

NSH: 59.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.01

NSH: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	38	32	6	84.2%	4.02	4	-1.98
NSH	Justus Annunen	35	30	5	85.7%	2.94	1	-2.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs NSH: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	NSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	SJS
2026-04-04	SJS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	SJS
2026-03-24	NSH 6 - 3 SJS	NSH	NSH
2025-03-11	SJS 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-23	SJS 5 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	0	1.13
1	NSH	19	1	1.33
2	SJS	14	0	0.88
2	NSH	14	2	1.33
3	SJS	14	1	0.92
3	NSH	21	1	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 6 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3