Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-01-24 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 62.0%
PHI: 38.0%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.49
PHI: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | NYI | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYI at home vs PHI: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | NYI 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2026-01-26 | PHI 0 - 4 NYI | NYI | PHI |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-10-25 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-04-12 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:14 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 17:08 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:03 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:56 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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