Buffalo Sabres at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

EDM: 64.6%

BUF: 35.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.44

BUF: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	EDM 3 - 4 BUF	BUF	EDM
2025-11-17	BUF 5 - 1 EDM	BUF	EDM
2025-03-10	BUF 3 - 2 EDM	BUF	EDM
2025-01-25	EDM 3 - 2 BUF	EDM	EDM
2024-03-21	EDM 8 - 3 BUF	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	2	1.76
1	BUF	6	0	0.55
2	EDM	21	0	1.09
2	BUF	25	2	2.22
3	EDM	12	1	1.20
3	BUF	26	1	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7