Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 48.4%

PIT: 51.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.07

PIT: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • SEA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	PIT
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	0	0.44
1	PIT	14	0	0.71
2	SEA	15	0	1.01
2	PIT	17	1	1.12
3	SEA	9	0	0.43
3	PIT	22	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1