New Jersey Devils at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 44.3%
NJD: 55.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.90
NJD: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | MTL | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MTL at home vs NJD: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | MTL 0 - 3 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-04-04 | NJD 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | NJD |
| 2025-11-06 | NJD 4 - 3 MTL | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-02-08 | MTL 0 - 4 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-25 | MTL 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:52 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 17:48 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 03:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 12:56 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 17:05 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 03:34 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 04:06 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
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