New Jersey Devils at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 50.3%

NJD: 49.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.95

NJD: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MTL at home vs NJD: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	MTL
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.55
1	NJD	15	3	1.44
2	MTL	21	0	1.78
2	NJD	22	1	1.82
3	MTL	13	0	0.67
3	NJD	21	0	0.79
4	MTL	3	0	0.36
4	NJD	3	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1