Los Angeles Kings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 48.8%

LAK: 51.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.82

LAK: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 41%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	31	2	93.9%	3.55	3	1.55
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	24	21	3	87.5%	2.32	1	-0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	CBJ 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	CBJ
2025-12-22	LAK 1 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	LAK
2025-01-25	CBJ 3 - 2 LAK	CBJ	LAK
2024-11-09	LAK 5 - 2 CBJ	LAK	LAK
2024-02-20	LAK 5 - 1 CBJ	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	6	0	0.43
1	LAK	20	1	1.35
2	CBJ	12	1	0.82
2	LAK	11	1	0.88
3	CBJ	12	0	0.26
3	LAK	18	1	1.22
4	CBJ	6	0	0.81
4	LAK	1	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.8 - 2.7