Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 0 - 2 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 58.0%

DAL: 42.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.10

DAL: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • STL at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	17	0	0.76
1	DAL	15	0	1.17
2	STL	16	0	1.19
2	DAL	6	1	0.44
3	STL	15	0	1.12
3	DAL	6	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 0 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8