Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 0 - 2 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 57.9%
DAL: 42.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.96
DAL: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 36%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | STL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.874 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • STL at home vs DAL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | DAL 5 - 4 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-27 | STL 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-23 | DAL 3 - 2 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-18 | STL 3 - 1 DAL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-02 | DAL 6 - 3 STL | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:07 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 09:36 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 0 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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