Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

MIN: 45.7%

CGY: 54.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.96

CGY: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	7	0	0.35
1	CGY	8	0	0.46
2	MIN	13	0	0.47
2	CGY	16	0	1.04
3	MIN	14	3	1.49
3	CGY	14	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2