Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 39.2%
CAR: 60.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.45
CAR: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 4.4
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | NYI 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR 4 - 3 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:18 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:26 | NYI | Goal |
| 4 | 02:03 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.5 - 3.0
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