Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 40.4%

CAR: 59.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.63

CAR: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	0	0.79
1	CAR	13	0	0.50
2	NYI	15	0	0.56
2	CAR	14	0	0.89
3	NYI	9	0	0.50
3	CAR	24	1	1.37
4	NYI	1	0	0.10
4	CAR	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.0