Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

VAN: 59.1%

WSH: 40.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.33

WSH: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 36%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	33	32	1	97.0%	3.49	3	2.49
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	25	23	2	92.0%	2.08	0	0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	WSH
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	WSH
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	0	0.96
1	WSH	17	1	0.98
2	VAN	17	0	0.97
2	WSH	16	0	0.94
3	VAN	7	0	0.15
3	WSH	17	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 2.3