Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

VAN: 63.5%

WSH: 36.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.15

WSH: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	WSH
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	0	0.96
1	WSH	17	1	0.98
2	VAN	17	0	0.97
2	WSH	16	0	0.94
3	VAN	7	0	0.15
3	WSH	17	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6