Colorado Avalanche at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-01-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

NYR: 38.5%

COL: 61.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.22

COL: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	NYR 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-11-20	COL 6 - 3 NYR	COL	COL
2025-01-26	NYR 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-14	COL 3 - 2 NYR	COL	COL
2024-03-28	COL 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	1	1.28
1	COL	16	2	1.32
2	NYR	20	1	1.48
2	COL	16	0	0.98
3	NYR	20	1	1.14
3	COL	6	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.2 - 3.5