Utah Hockey Club at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-01-26 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

OTT: 57.1%

UTA: 42.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.11

UTA: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • OTT at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	UTA 3 - 1 OTT	UTA	UTA
2025-11-09	OTT 4 - 2 UTA	OTT	OTT
2025-01-26	OTT 3 - 1 UTA	OTT	OTT
2024-10-22	UTA 0 - 4 OTT	OTT	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	0	0.64
1	UTA	16	0	0.69
2	OTT	8	0	0.54
2	UTA	17	0	0.84
3	OTT	19	3	2.41
3	UTA	13	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6