Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-01-26 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

VGK: 63.0%

FLA: 37.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.56

FLA: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-10	VGK 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-25	FLA 3 - 0 VGK	FLA	VGK
2025-01-26	VGK 4 - 1 FLA	VGK	VGK
2024-10-19	FLA 4 - 3 VGK	FLA	FLA
2024-01-04	VGK 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.82
1	FLA	19	0	0.94
2	VGK	15	0	0.85
2	FLA	18	0	0.71
3	VGK	19	3	2.24
3	FLA	20	0	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6