Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-01-27 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

DET: 50.2%

LAK: 49.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.45

LAK: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	26	24	2	92.3%	3.87	3	1.87
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	23	5	82.1%	4.21	6	-0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	DET 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-30	LAK 3 - 4 DET	DET	LAK
2025-01-27	DET 5 - 2 LAK	DET	DET
2024-11-16	LAK 4 - 1 DET	LAK	LAK
2024-01-13	DET 5 - 3 LAK	DET	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	0	0.48
1	LAK	20	1	1.77
2	DET	12	3	1.68
2	LAK	16	1	1.41
3	DET	13	3	2.05
3	LAK	18	1	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7