New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-01-27 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 65.3%
NJD: 34.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.84
NJD: 2.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • PHI at home vs NJD: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | NJD 1 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:04 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:32 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:49 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:47 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:45 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.8 - 2.4
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