New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-01-27 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PHI: 58.3%

NJD: 41.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.32

NJD: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	1	0.71
1	NJD	9	1	0.55
2	PHI	13	0	0.77
2	NJD	16	2	1.23
3	PHI	8	1	1.31
3	NJD	14	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8