Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-27 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 59.8%

VAN: 40.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.48

VAN: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	25	5	83.3%	4.11	4	-0.89
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	26	24	2	92.3%	2.42	2	0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VAN: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.48
1	VAN	16	1	1.65
2	STL	19	2	1.53
2	VAN	17	0	0.87
3	STL	14	0	0.41
3	VAN	11	3	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8