Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-01-27 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 63.0%
VAN: 37.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.27
VAN: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs VAN: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | VAN 1 - 3 STL | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-30 | STL 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | STL |
| 2025-10-13 | VAN 2 - 5 STL | STL | VAN |
| 2025-03-20 | STL 4 - 3 VAN | STL | STL |
| 2025-01-27 | STL 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 8 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 1 | VAN | 16 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 2 | STL | 19 | 2 | 1.53 |
| 2 | VAN | 17 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 3 | STL | 14 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 3 | VAN | 11 | 3 | 1.59 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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