Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-01-27 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

EDM: 72.8%

SEA: 27.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.64

SEA: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	28	26	2	92.9%	2.88	3	0.88
SEA	Joey Daccord	31	27	4	87.1%	3.73	3	-0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs SEA: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	EDM 3 - 1 SEA	EDM	SEA
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	0	0.89
1	SEA	17	2	1.36
2	EDM	16	1	1.42
2	SEA	10	1	0.79
3	EDM	11	2	1.42
3	SEA	13	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6