Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-01-28 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 7 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

BUF: 55.9%

BOS: 44.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.23

BOS: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • BUF at home vs BOS: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-21	BUF 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	0	0.68
1	BOS	9	0	0.57
2	BUF	14	0	0.73
2	BOS	26	2	1.49
3	BUF	17	1	1.60
3	BOS	14	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 7 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1