Winnipeg Jets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-01-28 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

MTL: 46.1%

WPG: 53.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.86

WPG: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	WPG 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-03	MTL 3 - 2 WPG	MTL	MTL
2025-01-28	MTL 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-14	WPG 4 - 2 MTL	WPG	WPG
2023-12-18	WPG 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	0	0.89
1	WPG	12	0	0.80
2	MTL	7	0	0.57
2	WPG	23	1	1.36
3	MTL	15	1	1.05
3	WPG	9	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1