Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-01-28 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 56.5%
COL: 43.5%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.31
COL: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | NYI | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.908 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:11 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:00 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:54 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:31 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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