Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-29 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 59.2%

PIT: 40.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.56

PIT: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs PIT: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	UTA 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	UTA
2025-12-14	PIT 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-29	UTA 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	UTA
2024-11-23	PIT 1 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	16	0	1.02
1	PIT	8	0	0.48
2	UTA	11	1	1.04
2	PIT	23	0	1.21
3	UTA	16	0	0.85
3	PIT	14	1	0.72
4	UTA	1	0	0.09
4	PIT	3	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9