Los Angeles Kings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

TBL: 68.0%

LAK: 32.0%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.32

LAK: 2.39

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TBL at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	LAK 3 - 5 TBL	TBL	LAK
2025-12-18	TBL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	TBL
2025-01-30	TBL 3 - 0 LAK	TBL	TBL
2025-01-04	LAK 2 - 1 TBL	LAK	LAK
2024-03-23	LAK 4 - 3 TBL	LAK	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TBL	12	1	1.14
1	LAK	16	0	0.89
2	TBL	19	1	1.32
2	LAK	11	0	0.38
3	TBL	13	2	2.26
3	LAK	16	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.4