New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 59.9%

NYI: 40.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.87

NYI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	1.02
1	NYI	11	0	0.59
2	PHI	14	0	0.83
2	NYI	15	1	0.87
3	PHI	9	0	0.39
3	NYI	12	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7