Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CAR: 71.6%

CHI: 28.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.13

CHI: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 42%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	20	18	2	90.0%	1.77	1	-0.23
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	27	24	3	88.9%	4.01	5	1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • CAR at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	CHI 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	2	0.95
1	CHI	5	0	0.42
2	CAR	12	1	1.60
2	CHI	13	0	0.47
3	CAR	11	2	1.46
3	CHI	10	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.5