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Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 58.5%
DET: 41.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.49
DET: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
StatEDMDET
Season SV%0.9060.893
Last 5 SV%0.8370.862
SV% vs Opponent—0.889
GAA2.732.97
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs DET: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-11EDM 4 - 1 DETEDMEDM
2025-10-19DET 4 - 2 EDMDETDET
2025-01-30EDM 2 - 3 DETDETEDM
2024-10-27DET 2 - 3 EDMEDMEDM
2024-02-13EDM 8 - 4 DETEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
106:49EDMGoal
110:29EDMGoal
209:59EDMGoal
211:47EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9