Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 63.0%

CBJ: 37.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.40

CBJ: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	21	2	1.39
1	CBJ	13	1	1.07
2	VGK	11	0	0.68
2	CBJ	10	0	0.37
3	VGK	11	0	0.64
3	CBJ	9	0	0.33
4	VGK	0	0	0.00
4	CBJ	3	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1