Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-01-30 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 55.5%
CBJ: 44.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.71
CBJ: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 20%
Over 6.5: 11%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.846 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs CBJ: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | VGK 5 - 3 CBJ | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-13 | CBJ 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-13 | CBJ 0 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-30 | VGK 1 - 2 CBJ | CBJ | VGK |
| 2024-03-23 | VGK 4 - 2 CBJ | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:58 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:34 | VGK | Goal |
| 4 | 00:52 | CBJ | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.7 - 2.7
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