San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

SEA: 59.9%

SJS: 40.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.88

SJS: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	28	26	2	92.9%	2.12	0	0.12
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	33	27	6	81.8%	2.49	0	-3.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SEA at home vs SJS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	14	0.54
1	SJS	17	0.60
2	SEA	19	1.23
2	SJS	14	0.70
3	SEA	13	0.72
3	SJS	13	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7