Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-01-31 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 47.3%

NSH: 52.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.08

NSH: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	31	28	3	90.3%	2.36	0	-0.64
NSH	Justus Annunen	27	23	4	85.2%	3.37	3	-0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • BUF at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	BUF 3 - 2 NSH	BUF	NSH
2026-01-20	NSH 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	NSH
2025-02-08	NSH 6 - 4 BUF	NSH	NSH
2025-01-31	BUF 4 - 3 NSH	BUF	NSH
2024-03-07	NSH 4 - 2 BUF	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	1	1.07
1	NSH	14	0	0.57
2	BUF	9	0	0.41
2	NSH	16	0	1.06
3	BUF	15	2	1.90
3	NSH	13	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1