Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-01-31 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

DAL: 66.9%

VAN: 33.1%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.52

VAN: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs VAN: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	VAN
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	DAL
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	2	1.18
1	VAN	14	1	0.65
2	DAL	5	1	0.42
2	VAN	14	1	1.28
3	DAL	12	4	2.29
3	VAN	12	1	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6