St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-31 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 0 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 56.9%
STL: 43.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.65
STL: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs STL: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | STL 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2 - 3 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | COL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 29 | 0 | 1.73 |
| 1 | STL | 9 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 2 | COL | 10 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 2 | STL | 13 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 3 | COL | 8 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 3 | STL | 9 | 0 | 0.78 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 0 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8
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