Columbus Blue Jackets at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-31 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (77% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 76.9%

CBJ: 23.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.28

CBJ: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	23	20	3	87.0%	2.24	3	-0.76
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	34	32	2	94.1%	3.78	3	1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • UTA at home vs CBJ: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	CBJ 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-03-07	CBJ 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	CBJ
2026-01-11	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA
2025-02-06	CBJ 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	19	1	1.16
1	CBJ	10	2	0.95
2	UTA	22	1	1.74
2	CBJ	7	0	0.19
3	UTA	19	1	0.81
3	CBJ	11	1	0.94
4	UTA	1	0	0.07
4	CBJ	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 76.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5