Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-02-01 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

FLA: 77.4%

CHI: 22.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.38

CHI: 2.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 36%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	25	24	1	96.0%	2.02	1	1.02
CHI	Petr Mrazek	44	39	5	88.6%	5.30	4	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • FLA at home vs CHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	CHI 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	CHI
2025-10-07	FLA 3 - 2 CHI	FLA	CHI
2025-02-01	FLA 5 - 1 CHI	FLA	FLA
2024-11-21	CHI 3 - 1 FLA	CHI	FLA
2023-11-12	FLA 4 - 3 CHI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	33	3	2.78
1	CHI	6	0	0.24
2	FLA	19	1	1.41
2	CHI	14	0	0.53
3	FLA	15	0	1.10
3	CHI	17	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.4 - 2.2