Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-02-01 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 6 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

OTT: 57.9%

MIN: 42.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.60

MIN: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

OTT

Leevi Meriläinen - 5-7-0 | 0.872 SV% | 3.46 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Leevi Meriläinen	16	16	0	100.0%	1.15	1	1.15
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	52	46	6	88.5%	4.04	2	-1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	19	0	0.99
1	MIN	10	0	0.65
2	OTT	24	2	1.98
2	MIN	6	1	0.35
3	OTT	20	0	1.08
3	MIN	4	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 6 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8