Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-02-01 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 70.3%

LAK: 29.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.89

LAK: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	26	22	4	84.6%	2.52	3	-1.48
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	26	2	92.9%	3.35	2	1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	CAR
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.17
1	LAK	19	1	0.81
2	CAR	12	0	0.41
2	LAK	16	2	1.33
3	CAR	28	1	1.77
3	LAK	9	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6