Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-02-01 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 45.6%
DET: 54.4%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.75
DET: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | CGY | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CGY at home vs DET: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | DET 5 - 2 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-10 | CGY 3 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-01 | CGY 1 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-27 | DET 2 - 1 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-17 | CGY 0 - 5 DET | DET | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:27 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 19:14 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 08:34 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9
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