New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-02-02 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 47.4%

NJD: 52.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.44

NJD: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	19	1	1.36
1	NJD	18	0	0.93
2	BUF	26	1	1.80
2	NJD	17	1	1.78
3	BUF	8	0	0.22
3	NJD	9	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2