Montreal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 37.7%
MTL: 62.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.97
MTL: 3.67
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | ANA | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs MTL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | MTL 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | MTL |
| 2026-03-06 | ANA 6 - 5 MTL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-02-02 | ANA 3 - 2 MTL | ANA | MTL |
| 2024-12-09 | MTL 3 - 2 ANA | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-02-13 | MTL 5 - 0 ANA | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:35 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:57 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:37 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:17 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:11 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.0 - 3.7
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