St. Louis Blues at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-02-02 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 62.0%

STL: 38.0%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.26

STL: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	29	27	2	93.1%	4.20	4	2.20
STL	Jordan Binnington	25	24	1	96.0%	2.20	2	1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • UTA at home vs STL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	UTA 3 - 5 STL	STL	UTA
2026-01-09	UTA 4 - 2 STL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-29	STL 1 - 0 UTA	STL	UTA
2025-10-23	STL 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-15	STL 6 - 1 UTA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	8	0	0.53
1	STL	23	1	1.69
2	UTA	10	0	0.49
2	STL	13	0	0.88
3	UTA	16	2	1.18
3	STL	11	3	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9