St. Louis Blues at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 60.9%
STL: 39.1%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.13
STL: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | UTA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.896 | 0.851 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | UTA 4 - 2 STL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-29 | STL 1 - 0 UTA | STL | UTA |
| 2025-10-23 | STL 4 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-15 | STL 6 - 1 UTA | STL | STL |
| 2025-02-02 | UTA 1 - 2 STL | STL | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:41 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:27 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:13 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.